One Nation gets at least 5 seats in the South Australian election?

The market indicates a low probability for One Nation to secure at least 5 seats.

Current market probabilities suggest a strong expectation that One Nation will not achieve at least 5 seats in the South Australian election. Despite a slight edge indicating the YES side may be undervalued, overall confidence remains moderate, reflecting uncertainty in voter sentiment as the election approaches.

• 1 Market probability for YES is low at 10.02%, indicating skepticism about One Nation's performance.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 16.02%, indicating potential undervaluation.
• 3 The edge of 6 points suggests market sentiment may not fully reflect possible support for One Nation.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
• 5 With 142 hours until expiry, the market may react to upcoming events or news affecting voter sentiment.