Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?

Market leans towards Gold hitting $5,000 by March end with a 61.5% probability.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards Gold reaching a low of $5,000 by the end of March, with a probability of 61.5%. However, the Pulse AI indicates a slightly lower probability of 55.5%, suggesting that the NO side may be undervalued by 6 points.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a rise in gold prices.
• 2 Economic indicators could heavily influence gold's trajectory.
• 3 Historical trends show volatility around major financial events.
• 4 Liquidity in the market may affect the ease of trading positions.
• 5 Time pressure is increasing with only 330 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement p