Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
33% | 38% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Russia conduct military operations in any another country against ISIS-K be…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
16.99% | 21.99% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
84.57% | 82.75% | -5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
7% | 12.2% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
21.92% | 26.79% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?
Manifold
Crypto
|
10.82% | 16% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 25% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% | 33% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will OpenAI announce a new GPT-5-level model before 1 July 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
94.11% | 89.11% | -5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 30.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 20.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% | 42.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
3.86% | 10% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
9.5% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 23% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 28% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 23% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 30.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Elon Musk visit China before March 21 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.02% | 7.59% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 28.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.15% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.15% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |