Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026?

The market strongly favors the USA remaining in NATO through 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a low likelihood of the USA leaving NATO by the end of 2026, with a consensus of 92.8% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for a departure at 12.2%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in the USA staying in NATO.
• 2 Current sentiment leans heavily towards 'NO' at 92.8%.
• 3 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher chance of departure at 12.2%.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 5.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 6871 hours, allowing for potential shifts.