Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Market sees a balanced chance for crude oil to hit $70 by March's end.

The prediction market shows an equal probability of 50% for crude oil to hit a low of $70 by the end of March. Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 55%, indicating a modest bullish sentiment. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time frame of 511 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability is evenly split at 50% for both outcomes.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slight edge for the YES side at 55%.
• 3 The confidence level of 60 suggests moderate uncertainty.
• 4 511 hours remain until the market's expiry, allowing for potential volatility.
• 5 Current market conditions reflect a balanced sentiment on crude oil prices.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures