|
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
54% |
49.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
53.5% |
49% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Montana in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
56% |
51.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
55.5% |
51% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
57.5% |
53% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
38.08% |
40.61% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will NVIDIA stock be higher on March 16, 2026 than on March 09, 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
50% |
54.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Trump visits China by end of March 31?
Manifold
Politics
|
0.85% |
54.3% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
AWS stops offering Anthropic models to US customers via Amazon Bedrock before Ma…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
2.39% |
7.81% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
12.53% |
19.31% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Gemini top the leaderboard?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
1.13% |
5.63% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will GPT-5.4 outperform Claude Opus 4.6 at METR 50% time horizon?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
33.22% |
43.8% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
19.89% |
20.22% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Google announce a new quantum-related milestone within the next 60 days?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
1.92% |
17.49% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Lambert Meilhac be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse m…
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.05% |
5.35% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Julian Menendez be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse m…
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.05% |
5.15% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Guillaume Scali be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse m…
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.05% |
5.25% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
5.33% |
9.83% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
1% |
5.71% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.4% |
9.45% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Amazon divest from Anthropic in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
7% |
11.7% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Claude 5 released before March 31?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
1% |
15.4% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 …
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
31.14% |
40.33% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
xAI announces own ASIC/XPU for AI workloads by March 31, 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
9.23% |
20.6% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|