Will Lambert Meilhac be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

Low probability for Lambert Meilhac to become the next mayor of Toulouse.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Lambert Meilhac will not be the next mayor of Toulouse, with a 99.15% probability against his candidacy. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, assigning a 94.65% chance of a 'NO' outcome. With a confidence score of 55/100 and a time to expiry of just 30 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming sentiment against Meilhac's candidacy.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low likelihood of his election at 5.35%.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time pressure may lead to rapid shifts in market sentiment.
• 5 Current market pricing suggests no significant upcoming events favoring Meilhac.

The 2026 Toulouse municipal election is scheduled for March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22. The Mayor of Toulouse will then be elected by the Toulouse Municipal Council elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the next individual elected to be the Mayor of Toulouse following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.

If no such mayor has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Toulouse; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.