Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?

Market shows a slight lean towards Trump visiting South Dakota in 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 54% probability that Donald Trump will visit South Dakota in 2026, while the AI model suggests a nearly even split. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100 and a time to expiry of over 7000 hours, the market is considered fairly priced, as indicated by the edge of -4.5.

• 1 Market probability shows a slight favor towards a visit.
• 2 AI model indicates a nearly even probability split.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for significant developments to occur.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.