Market shows a slight favor for Trump visiting Montana in 2026.
The prediction market indicates a 56% probability for Donald Trump visiting Montana in 2026, suggesting a close contest with the AI probability slightly lower at 51.5%. The edge of -4.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 55 out of 100.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.