Markets / AI & Tech / AWS stops offering Anthropic models to US customers via Amaz...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires today OPEN

AWS stops offering Anthropic models to US customers via Amazon Bedrock before May 1, 2026

2.39%
Market YES
97.61%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
7.81%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Market predicts AWS will not stop offering Anthropic models by May 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that AWS will continue to offer Anthropic models to US customers until at least May 2026, with a 96.69% probability for 'NO'. The relatively low confidence score of 55/100 suggests some uncertainty, but the market appears fairly priced based on the current probabilities.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors AWS continuing model offerings.
  • 2 The probability gap indicates strong confidence in the 'NO' outcome.
  • 3 Market edge suggests pricing is aligned with expectations.
  • 4 Time to expiry allows for potential developments impacting the market.
  • 5 Confidence level reflects moderate uncertainty in the outcome.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Announcement of AWS discontinuing Anthropic models
Regulatory changes affecting AI model availability
Partnership developments between AWS and Anthropic
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $59,205
Liquidity $0
Resolves 30 Apr 2026
Status Open
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