|
Will total US trade in goods with Greenland be higher in 2025 than in 2024?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
1.39% |
4.89% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
59.07% |
43.49% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
16.26% |
19.79% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
20.9% |
46.22% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
53% |
47.99% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
US recession in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
35% |
22.87% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
40% |
39.5% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
20.36% |
34.59% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 1…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
29.8% |
33.3% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, …
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
24.92% |
27.56% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in cour…
Manifold
Science & Health
|
49% |
52.5% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
3.97% |
11.66% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
6.05% |
9.55% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Military action against Iran ends by March 20, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
4.25% |
7.75% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Military action against Iran ends by March 24, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
12.5% |
16% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
17% |
20.5% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
12.5% |
16% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Military action against Iran ends by March 17, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.85% |
4.35% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
17% |
20.5% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 16-22?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
4.05% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by De…
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
69.5% |
66% |
-3.5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
Manifold
Science & Health
|
13.94% |
17.44% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
NASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold
Science & Health
|
3.02% |
8.5% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
4.95% |
+3.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|