Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
4.9% | 8.4% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% | 7.9% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.05% | 26.4% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
16% | 19.5% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
3.9% | 7.8% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
24.5% | 28% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
5.45% | 8.95% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
8% | 11.5% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
4.3% | 7.8% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
24.5% | 28% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
35% | 63% | -3.5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% | 22.5% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
91.7% | 81.5% | -3.5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
40.5% | 44% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
37.5% | 41% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.2% | 5.4% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
1.4% | 4.9% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
10.6% | 14.1% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
2.7% | 7.05% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
2.6% | 6.1% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
4.25% | 6.2% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
2.9% | 6.4% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% | 32.5% | +3.5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
75.5% | 72% | -3.5 pts | 60 | YES |