Market predicts low likelihood of Metamask's FDV exceeding $2B post-launch.
The prediction market shows an 8% probability for Metamask's FDV to exceed $2B one day after launch, with a strong consensus against it at 92%. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 11.5%, indicating some uncertainty but still favoring the NO outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".