Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

The market strongly favors that Netflix will not acquire Warner Bros.

Current market probabilities indicate a low likelihood of Netflix closing the Warner Bros acquisition, with a 96.45% chance of 'NO'. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 7.05%, but overall sentiment remains firmly against the acquisition.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Current events and corporate strategies could influence outcomes.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable with no significant market disruptions.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.