Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

Market Price

Current crowd consensus

AI Pulse Score

Our model's adjusted probability

Edge Score

Gap between the two — higher = more divergence

Positive edge = YES may be undervalued

Negative edge = NO may be undervalued

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

4,538 markets with edge score > 3 pts

Market	Market	AI	⚡ Edge	Conf	Verdict
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033? Manifold Geopolitics	60%	51%	-9 pts	50	~
Will a supernova be clearly visible from Earth before 2100 by a conscious, self-… Manifold Geopolitics	61.93%	52.93%	-9 pts	50	~
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040? Manifold Geopolitics	30%	61.4%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100? Manifold Geopolitics	53.54%	44.54%	-9 pts	50	NO
Will China land men on the moon before the USA? Manifold Geopolitics	52.45%	43.45%	-9 pts	50	NO
Will the Dow hit 50k before the number of American troops in Iran does? Manifold Geopolitics	87.92%	78.77%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the en… Manifold Geopolitics	62.76%	55.1%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030 Manifold Geopolitics	71.17%	60%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030? Manifold Geopolitics	56.58%	48.35%	-9 pts	50	~
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100? Manifold Geopolitics	53.05%	44.05%	-9 pts	50	NO
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030? Manifold Geopolitics	54.52%	43.18%	-9 pts	50	NO
Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't inva… Manifold Geopolitics	80.06%	71.22%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028? Manifold Geopolitics	67%	61.53%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will nuclear propulsion be used in any spacecraft before 2050? Manifold Geopolitics	85.14%	76.14%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended … Manifold Geopolitics	73.01%	64.01%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050? Manifold Geopolitics	62%	53%	-9 pts	50	~
Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030? Manifold Geopolitics	73.27%	64.27%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan? Manifold Geopolitics	65.5%	58.68%	-9 pts	50	YES
Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon? Manifold Geopolitics	52.45%	43.45%	-9 pts	50	NO
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Polymarket Geopolitics	0%	43%	-7.5 pts	65	NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Polymarket Geopolitics	76%	69.5%	-7.5 pts	65	YES
Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Polymarket Geopolitics	89.5%	82%	-7.5 pts	65	YES
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Polymarket Geopolitics	0%	48.5%	-7.5 pts	65	~
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Polymarket Geopolitics	0%	45.5%	-7.5 pts	65	~

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