Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

Market suggests a higher chance of China controlling Taiwan by 2050.

The prediction market indicates a 62% probability that China will control at least half of Taiwan by 2050, reflecting significant concern over geopolitical tensions. The Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 53%, suggesting some skepticism about the certainty of this outcome. The edge of -9 points for the NO side indicates that it may be undervalued in this context.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a Chinese takeover of Taiwan.
• 2 Geopolitical tensions are a key factor influencing probabilities.
• 3 Historical trends show fluctuating control dynamics in the region.
• 4 Market liquidity may affect the stability of current odds.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential geopolitical shifts.