Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?

Market leans towards a potential invasion, but AI suggests a lower likelihood.

The market currently indicates a 53.54% probability of a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by China before 2100. However, the Pulse AI probability is lower at 44.54%, suggesting that the NO side may be undervalued. With a confidence level of 50, the market reflects uncertainty regarding future geopolitical developments.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a YES outcome slightly.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a stronger NO position, suggesting skepticism.
• 3 The edge of -9 points indicates potential undervaluation of the NO side.
• 4 Confidence level at 50 suggests significant uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for many geopolitical developments.