Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?

There's a 60% chance a nuclear bomb will be detonated before 2033.

The market indicates a 60% probability of a nuclear bomb being detonated globally before 2033, suggesting heightened geopolitical tensions. However, the Pulse AI probability is closer to a 51% likelihood, indicating a more cautious outlook. The edge of -9 for the NO side suggests that it may be undervalued compared to the YES side.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a higher risk of nuclear detonation.
• 2 Geopolitical tensions are a key factor influencing market probabilities.
• 3 Historical data shows fluctuating risks associated with nuclear threats.
• 4 Market liquidity may be affecting the accuracy of current probabilities.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with 68736 hours until market expiry.