Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Will Iran win the war before March 31 against the United States?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1% | 6.47% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representative…
Polymarket
Politics
|
11.85% | 19.05% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
99.95% | 64.8% | -5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 54.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 54.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% | 54.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 54.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
19.5% | 29.75% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 26.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
4% | 9% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Chat GPT 6 release before the end of 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
70% | 65% | -5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 29% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 54% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 22% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 28.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |