Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

Market Price

Current crowd consensus

AI Pulse Score

Our model's adjusted probability

Edge Score

Gap between the two — higher = more divergence

Positive edge = YES may be undervalued

Negative edge = NO may be undervalued

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

4,538 markets with edge score > 3 pts

Market	Market	AI	⚡ Edge	Conf	Verdict
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian preside… Polymarket Politics	17.5%	22%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian preside… Polymarket Politics	3.3%	7.65%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian preside… Polymarket Politics	8.95%	12.35%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential electio… Polymarket Politics	6.1%	13.35%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Polymarket Politics	0.15%	4.65%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Polymarket Politics	0.35%	4.8%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Polymarket Politics	0.25%	4.75%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Polymarket Politics	0.25%	4.75%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Polymarket Politics	0.15%	4.65%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Polymarket Politics	0.2%	4.75%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? Polymarket Politics	6.5%	11%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff? Polymarket Politics	10%	14.5%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff? Polymarket Politics	3.35%	7.85%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 mi… Polymarket Politics	10.5%	15%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 mi… Polymarket Politics	7%	11.5%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 mi… Polymarket Politics	3.8%	8.3%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 mi… Polymarket Politics	1.35%	5.85%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 mi… Polymarket Politics	8.5%	13%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 mi… Polymarket Politics	5.6%	10.1%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 mi… Polymarket Politics	1.85%	6.35%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm el… Polymarket Politics	1.55%	6.05%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026? Polymarket Politics	2.15%	4.85%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026? Polymarket Politics	2.4%	4.85%	+4.5 pts	60	NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026? Polymarket Politics	2.2%	6.35%	+4.5 pts	60	NO

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190