Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
99.95% | 20.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
Manifold
Crypto
|
28.06% | 31.29% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 22.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 26% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) sustain battle damage caused directly by I…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.38% | 19.62% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will we see an open source LLM model better than Opus 4.5 before the end of 2026…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
85.24% | 80.24% | -5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
19.27% | 27.73% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.5% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 5: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 22% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 54.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.5% | 54% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 28% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 25% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |