Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

Market Price

Current crowd consensus

AI Pulse Score

Our model's adjusted probability

Edge Score

Gap between the two — higher = more divergence

Positive edge = YES may be undervalued

Negative edge = NO may be undervalued

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.

4,538 markets with edge score > 3 pts

Market	Market	AI	⚡ Edge	Conf	Verdict
UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026? Manifold Geopolitics	17.47%	48.13%	-9 pts	55	~
Will the US put boots on the ground in Iran in 2026? Manifold Geopolitics	70.12%	45.44%	-9 pts	55	~
Will Roy Cooper run for and be elected Senator for North Carolina in 2026? Manifold Geopolitics	90.89%	81.89%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will Iran kill atleast 5 more American soldiers by end March Manifold Geopolitics	27.33%	72.26%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will China become more authoritarian in 2025? Manifold Geopolitics	73%	60.82%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026? Polymarket Geopolitics	79%	61.5%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will there be more software developers employed in the United States in June 202… Manifold Geopolitics	54.08%	45.08%	-9 pts	55	~
On the 12th anniversary of the Russian annexation of Crimea, will the Russia-Ukr… Manifold Geopolitics	98.96%	87.04%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026? Manifold Geopolitics	91.95%	81%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war? Manifold Geopolitics	79.27%	70.73%	-9 pts	55	YES
Est ce l’Amérique va bombardé l’Iran Manifold Geopolitics	82.13%	73.13%	-9 pts	55	YES
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Polymarket Geopolitics	100%	42%	-9 pts	55	NO
Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2025? Manifold Geopolitics	78.66%	69.66%	-9 pts	55	YES
Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026 Manifold Geopolitics	67.29%	60.89%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries i… Manifold Geopolitics	63.05%	51.45%	-9 pts	55	~
Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2025? Manifold Geopolitics	85.01%	77.63%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will Manifold look positively at the US bombing of Iranian nuclear sides on June… Manifold Geopolitics	50%	47.38%	-9 pts	55	~
Will Israel exist two years from now? Manifold Geopolitics	97.82%	88.82%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will Robert Downey Jr. appear in Avengers: Secret Wars? Manifold Geopolitics	93.27%	84.27%	-9 pts	55	YES
Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict? Manifold Geopolitics	36.87%	44.62%	-9 pts	55	NO
Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026? Manifold Geopolitics	42.49%	48%	-9 pts	55	~
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war… Manifold Geopolitics	67.74%	55.11%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026? Manifold Geopolitics	71.52%	61.02%	-9 pts	55	YES
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference? Polymarket Geopolitics	0%	57.5%	-9 pts	55	YES

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