Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

Market shows a higher likelihood of US military operations against 8+ countries in 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 60.45% probability for US military operations against eight or more countries in 2026, suggesting a significant expectation of such actions. However, the Pulse AI probability is closer, at 51.45%, indicating a more cautious outlook. The edge of -9 points for the NO side suggests it may be undervalued relative to current sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards military operations being likely.
• 2 The discrepancy between market and AI probabilities indicates uncertainty.
• 3 The confidence level of 55/100 reflects moderate belief in the predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 The NO side appears undervalued, suggesting potential for market correction.