Will Roy Cooper run for and be elected Senator for North Carolina in 2026?

High probability suggests strong belief in Cooper's Senate candidacy and potential election success.

The market indicates a strong consensus that Roy Cooper will run for and win a Senate seat in North Carolina in 2026, with a probability of 90.89%. However, the AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 81.89%, indicating some skepticism. The edge of -9 points on the NO side implies that this option may be undervalued, reflecting potential opportunities for shifts in sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Cooper's candidacy.
• 2 The probability gap indicates potential undervaluation of the NO side.
• 3 AI analysis shows a slightly lower confidence than market consensus.
• 4 Time until expiry allows for significant political developments.
• 5 Market dynamics may shift with emerging political challengers.