|
Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
55% |
58.5% |
-5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
If DeepSeek releases V4 in 2026, will there be articles about it in NYT, WSJ, an…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
71.46% |
66.46% |
-5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
GTA 6 released before GPT 6?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
76.54% |
71.54% |
-5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
35.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cit…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
14.36% |
19.36% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will a mainstream AI model pass the stick figure arrow name test in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
66% |
61% |
-5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2025?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
34% |
43% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
20.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will something CRAZY happen due to the Anthropic/DoW situation?
Manifold
Crypto
|
1.21% |
6.7% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
27% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
18% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Backpack launch a token on March 20?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
5.15% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
34.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Israel wins Eurovision 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
8.56% |
15% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Bitcoin $130K in 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
17.56% |
22% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Backpack launch a token on March 24?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% |
6.4% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
30.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Backpack launch a token on March 26?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% |
5.55% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
18% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
46.45% |
31.86% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Backpack launch a token on March 18?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
5.05% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
67.92% |
80.71% |
-5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Bitcoin $120K in 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
24% |
28% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Powell say "Distortion" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
33.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|