Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
12.95% | 17.71% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
15.73% | 25% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will I get a girlfriend before I get an award on USAMO?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
2.19% | 7.92% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
8.6% | 13.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will I still be using Claude Code by the end of March 2026
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
93.85% | 88.36% | -5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will btc drop to 10K by July?
Manifold
Crypto
|
1.99% | 7.57% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
10.42% | 23.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will the United States officially withdraw from NATO by March 31, 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.38% | 6.62% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |