Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?

Market indicates a high likelihood of Kanye releasing BULLY by April 3.

The prediction market shows a 69.80% probability for Kanye's album release by the specified date, suggesting strong confidence among participants. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit slightly lower at 64.8%. With a time to expiry of 159 hours and a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears to be fairly priced, as indicated by the edge of -5.

• 1 Current market probability favors a release by April 3.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly lower than market consensus.
• 3 Market edge indicates fair pricing with no significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate belief in the outcome.
• 5 Time pressure is building with only 159 hours until expiry.

Ye (Kanye West) set a release date of March 20, 2026 for his new album, BULLY (See: https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/kanye-west-bully-release-date-signs-with-gamma-1235506094/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ye officially releases BULLY by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that BULLY is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Kanye West/Ye album officially confirmed to be the “BULLY” project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.