Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

There is a 77% probability that Zelenskyy and Putin will not meet before 2027.

The market shows a strong belief that Zelenskyy and Putin will not meet before 2027, with a probability of 77%. However, the Pulse AI indicates a slightly lower probability of 69.5%, suggesting that the NO side may be undervalued by 7.5 points. With a confidence level of 65 out of 100 and a significant time until expiry, the dynamics could shift based on geopolitical developments.

• 1 Current sentiment favors a lack of meetings between the leaders.
• 2 The NO side appears undervalued by 7.5 points, indicating potential market inefficiency.
• 3 Pulse AI's probability suggests a more cautious outlook than the market consensus.
• 4 The time to expiry is substantial, allowing for significant geopolitical changes.
• 5 Confidence level of 65 indicates moderate certainty in the current market assessment.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.

For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.