Will the US enter a recession in 2026?

The market indicates a 36% chance of a US recession in 2026.

Current market probabilities suggest a 36% likelihood of a US recession in 2026, with a stronger consensus against it at 64%. The Pulse AI slightly increases the recession probability to 39.5%, indicating some market uncertainty but overall confidence remains moderate.

• 1 Market probability shows a majority belief against a recession.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher risk than the market consensus.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in economic conditions.
• 5 Edge suggests the market is currently fairly priced.