US recession in 2026?

Market indicates a low probability of a US recession in 2026.

The prediction market shows a 29.33% chance of a US recession occurring in 2026, with a majority (70.67%) believing it will not happen. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for a recession at 32.83%, indicating some divergence in sentiment but overall agreement on a low likelihood.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards economic stability.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a consensus on no recession.
• 3 Historical data shows recessions are less frequent than predicted.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in economic conditions.