Markets / Politics / Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?...
Manifold Politics Expires in 1317 days OPEN

Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?

6.52%
Market YES
93.48%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
12.52%
AI YES
50
Confidence
45
Reliability
YES side may be undervalued Edge: +6 pts

Market shows low probability for Trump spending time in prison before 2030.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Donald Trump will not spend time in prison before 2030, with a 93.48% probability for 'NO.' However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 12.52% for 'YES,' indicating potential undervaluation of the 'YES' side by 6 points.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' on prison time.
  • 2 Pulse AI suggests a higher likelihood for 'YES' than market indicates.
  • 3 The edge of 6 points suggests potential undervaluation of the 'YES' side.
  • 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50, indicating uncertainty.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for significant developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
New legal developments or charges against Trump
Changes in public opinion or political landscape
Judicial rulings affecting ongoing cases
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $7,403
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Jan 2030
Status Open
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