Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March?

High probability suggests Gold will settle below $4,750 in March.

The market shows a strong consensus with an 89.5% probability that Gold will settle below $4,750 in March. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly lower probability of 83.5%. The NO side appears undervalued, indicating potential for a shift in sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a drop in Gold prices.
• 2 Historical trends show volatility in gold prices around this time.
• 3 Liquidity in the market may affect price movements leading up to expiry.
• 4 Time pressure is increasing with only 86 hours until expiry.
• 5 The undervaluation of the NO side suggests potential for market correction.

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the