Market shows a close probability split on FDV exceeding $300M post-launch.
The market indicates a 42% chance of the variational FDV exceeding $300M one day after launch, with a slightly higher probability of 58% for it not to exceed that threshold. The Pulse AI model suggests a similar outlook, with probabilities of 45.5% for YES and 54.5% for NO, indicating a balanced sentiment around this prediction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".