Low probability for Trump to post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to 24, 2026.
The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards the 'NO' outcome, with a probability of 92.5%. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of Trump making the specified number of posts during the given timeframe.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 17, 12:00 PM ET and March 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.