High probability that Trump will say 'Friend of mine' during Taoiseach events.
The market indicates a strong consensus that Trump will use the phrase 'Friend of mine' during his interactions with the Taoiseach, with a probability of 98.40% for a YES outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 92.9%, indicating potential uncertainty or differing interpretations among participants.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on March 17, 2026 (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Taoiseach, Michaél Martin, on March 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Michaél Martin. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or