Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Market indicates a strong likelihood of turnout between 55% and 60% in Honduras' 2025 election.

The market shows a 64.95% probability for turnout being between 55% and 60%, suggesting a favorable outlook for voter engagement. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 59.45%, indicating a consensus on expected turnout levels, though the NO side appears slightly undervalued. Overall confidence in this prediction stands at 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors higher turnout predictions.
• 2 The NO side shows potential undervaluation, suggesting room for adjustment.
• 3 Historical turnout trends may influence current expectations.
• 4 Market confidence is moderate, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, affecting liquidity and market dynamics.

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).