Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Georgia is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote based on current probabilities.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Georgia winning the televote, with a market probability of 0.70% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this skepticism, assigning only a 5.2% chance to Georgia's victory. Given the current confidence level of 55/100 and the time remaining until the event, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief that Georgia will not win the televote.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low likelihood of Georgia's victory at 5.2%.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates that the market is likely accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 55/100 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry of 1329 hours allows for potential shifts in public opinion.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.