Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Belgium is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote according to current market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Belgium winning the televote, with a 98.75% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI offers a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 5.75%, indicating some uncertainty but still aligning with the market's overall sentiment.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 98.75%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly more optimistic view with 5.75% for 'YES'.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 1318 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.