Markets / AI & Tech / Will Apple name an outside CEO to replace Tim Cook in 2026?...

Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 219 days OPEN

Will Apple name an outside CEO to replace Tim Cook in 2026?

Market YES

99%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

5.5%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors Tim Cook remaining CEO through 2026.

With a market probability of 99% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that Apple will not appoint an outside CEO to replace Tim Cook in 2026. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher chance of a change. The edge of 4.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current sentiment heavily favors Tim Cook staying as CEO.
2 Market shows low volatility, indicating strong confidence in the current outcome.
3 Historical trends suggest stability in leadership roles at Apple.
4 Liquidity appears adequate, allowing for smooth market operations.
5 Time to expiry is substantial, providing room for potential developments.