Markets / Politics / Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026?...
Manifold Politics Expires in 219 days OPEN

Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026?

2.32%
Market YES
97.68%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
8.32%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
YES side may be undervalued Edge: +6 pts

Market indicates low probability of Maduro remaining president through 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Maduro remaining in power, with a 97.68% probability for a NO outcome. However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 8.32%, indicating potential undervaluation of the YES side. The confidence level is moderate at 55/100, reflecting uncertainty in the political landscape.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 Pulse AI indicates a potential undervaluation of YES by 6 points.
  • 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
  • 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential political shifts.
  • 5 Historical trends show volatility in Venezuelan political stability.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Major political unrest or protests in Venezuela
International diplomatic interventions or sanctions
Changes in Maduro's health or political alliances
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $62,646
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Dec 2026
Status Open
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