Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?

There is a 73% chance Trump will visit Arizona in 2026.

The market indicates a strong likelihood of Donald Trump visiting Arizona in 2026, with a 73% probability for a YES outcome. However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly lower probability of 66%, indicating a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 7 points. This discrepancy reflects varying perspectives on Trump's future political engagements.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a visit with a 73% YES probability.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly lower confidence at 66% for a YES outcome.
• 3 The NO side appears undervalued by 7 points, suggesting potential market inefficiency.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 7090 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.