Market leans towards a Trump visit to Alabama in 2026 with a 62% probability.
The prediction market indicates a 62% likelihood of Donald Trump visiting Alabama in 2026, while the AI probability suggests a slightly lower chance at 55%. The NO side appears undervalued by 7 points, indicating potential for a shift in sentiment as the expiry date approaches.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.