Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?

Market favors all three leaders being in place for the next election.

The market shows a strong probability of 65% for all three leaders—Hipkins, Luxon, and Peters—remaining in their positions by the next election. However, the Pulse AI suggests a lower probability of 58%, indicating potential undervaluation of the NO side. With a confidence level of 55/100 and a time to expiry of over 7000 hours, there is room for market fluctuations as the election date approaches.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards YES at 65%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a more cautious outlook at 58% for YES.
• 3 The NO side is seen as undervalued by 7 points.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts.