Will AI be able to write, compile, and unit test a single .c file to reproduce GPT-2 training from PyTorch code by 2026?

Market leans towards AI not achieving full GPT-2 training automation by 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that AI will not be able to autonomously write, compile, and unit test a .c file for GPT-2 training by 2026, with a NO probability of 75.66%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher confidence in a YES outcome at 28.84%. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests skepticism about AI's coding capabilities.
• 3 Historical trends show challenges in AI fully automating complex programming tasks.
• 4 Liquidity in this market indicates active participation and interest.
• 5 The time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to the predictions.