Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?

The market indicates a low probability of India settling the Kashmir conflict with Pakistan by 2035.

With a market probability of 26.37% for a settlement by 2035, the consensus leans heavily towards a NO outcome at 73.63%. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting limited optimism for resolution in the near future.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probabilities suggest a stable geopolitical landscape with little expectation of change.
• 3 Historical context shows prolonged tensions in Kashmir, impacting resolution likelihood.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 5.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.