Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Low probability for Taiwan acquiring nuclear weapons before 2031.

The prediction market indicates a 7.85% chance of Taiwan acquiring nuclear weapons by 2031, with a consensus leaning towards 'NO' at 92.15%. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher likelihood at 12.85%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 50/100.

• 1 Market probability shows strong skepticism about Taiwan acquiring nuclear weapons.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability than the market consensus.
• 3 The edge of 5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 4 Confidence level at 50/100 reflects uncertainty in geopolitical developments.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.