Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Market strongly predicts Elon Musk will tweet 340-359 times in early March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will post between 340 and 359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 95.5%, suggesting a high level of confidence in this outcome. The edge of -4.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of Musk tweeting frequently.
• 2 The high confidence level reflects strong belief in Musk's active social media presence.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns suggest Musk often engages heavily during significant events.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.
• 5 The unknown time to expiry adds uncertainty but does not impact current predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.