Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Market suggests low probability of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons by 2031.

The current market probability indicates a 20.64% chance of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons before 2031, with a stronger consensus against it at 79.36%. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors the possibility at 25.64%, suggesting some uncertainty remains. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 50 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards 'NO'.
• 2 The gap between market and AI probabilities indicates some market skepticism.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate, reflecting uncertainty in geopolitical developments.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in dynamics.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 5, suggesting balanced views.