Events › Other › Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?…
Other 1 platform 2 markets

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Combined AI YES
35.5%
Avg Confidence
48/100
Combined Volume
$4.6M
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?…
25.00%
31.34%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$4.6M
Volume
Manifold
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)…
37.17%
40.17%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$4K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?…
 25.00% 31.34% +3
50
$4.6M
Manifold
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)…
near 		37.17% 40.17% +3
45
$4K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 25.00% NO 75.00%
Manifold
YES 37.17% NO 62.83%
Spread: 12.2 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market probability strongly favors the natural origin theory.
  • 2 Pulse AI shows a slight inclination towards lab-origin but remains low.
  • 3 Confidence level indicates uncertainty in the market.
  • 4 The edge suggests the market is balanced and fairly priced.
  • 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Other
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 25.00%
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?…
Manifold 37.17%
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)…
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