Events › Other › In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to ge…
Other 1 platform 1 market

In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?

Combined AI YES
49%
Avg Confidence
45/100
Combined Volume
$135K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make …
51.00%
49.00%
AI YES
-3
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$135K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to …
 51.00% 49.00% -3
45
$135K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 51.00% NO 49.00%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability shows a slight edge for YES at 52%.
  • 2 Pulse AI probability is nearly even, indicating uncertainty.
  • 3 The edge of -3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
  • 4 Confidence level is moderate at 45/100.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Other
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 51.00%
In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make …
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